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Reds Vs Royals: MLB Betting Odds & Trends – 7/6/2021

The Cincinnati Reds (44-40) will try to keep a five-game win streak alive when they visit the Kansas City Royals (35-49) on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET. The Reds are favored (-167) to continue the streak when they take on the underdog Royals (+145). Cincinnati has Luis Castillo set to start, while Kansas City counters Kris Bubic.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of July 6, 2021, 2:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Reds vs Royals Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Castillo (CIN) Pitcher Bubic (KC)
3 – 10 W/L 2 – 4
90.1 IP 52.1
5.08 ERA 4.99
1.440 WHIP 1.510
8.6 K/9 7.6
3.6 BB/9 4.6

Reds Probable Starter Luis Castillo

  • Castillo (3-10) takes the mound first for the Reds in his 18th start of the season. He has a 5.08 ERA in 90 1/3 innings pitched, with 86 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Thursday against the Padres, when he tossed 6 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • He will face off against a Royals offense that ranks 10th in the league with 681 total hits (on a.245 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .389 (21st in the league) with 82 total home runs (25th in MLB play).
  • The Reds are 4-5 in Castillo’s nine starts this season with Cincinnati as the moneyline favorite.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 6, 2021 at 2:20 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Royals Stats vs Castillo

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Carlos Santana 8 .250 2 1 1 .500 1.125
Nicky Lopez 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .600
Ryan O’Hearn 5 .600 3 0 3 .600 1.400
Whit Merrifield 5 .400 2 0 1 .400 .800
Jarrod Dyson 5 .200 1 0 0 .429 .629
Hunter Dozier 4 .250 1 0 0 .400 .650
Jorge Soler 4 .250 1 0 1 .400 .900
Salvador Perez 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666

Royals Probable Starter Kris Bubic

  • The Royals will send Bubic (2-4) to the mound for his eighth start this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed four hits in four innings against the Red Sox.
  • The Reds rank seventh in MLB with a .248 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks eighth in the league (.419) and 110 home runs.
  • His team is 4-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline underdog.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 6, 2021 at 2:20 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Stats vs Bubic

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Nick Castellanos 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 1.333
Joey Votto 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Eugenio Suárez 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Kyle Farmer 2 .500 1 0 2 .500 1.500
Jesse Winker 2 1.000 2 1 1 1.000 3.500

Reds Betting Trends

  • The Reds average 4.2 runs per game on the road while scoring 5.5 per contest at home.
  • The Reds have the No. 9 offense in MLB action scoring 4.9 runs per game (412 total runs).
  • The Reds have been the moneyline favorite 48 total times this season. They’ve finished 28-20 in those games.
  • Cincinnati is 6-2 (winning 75% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -167 or shorter.
  • Cincinnati has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 84 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 45 of those games (45-35-4).
  • Cincinnati has a 6-1 record across the seven games it was favored on the moneyline in its last 10 matchups.

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Royals Betting Trends

  • The Royals rank 24th in the league with 344 total runs scored this season.
  • In 41 home games this season, they’ve scored 4.7 runs per contest compared to the 3.5 per game they score away from Kauffman Stadium.
  • This season, the Royals have been the underdog 52 times and won 18, or 34.6%, of those games.
  • Kansas City is 6-11 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +145 or more on the moneyline.
  • Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 40 of their 84 chances.
  • Kansas City has played as the underdog six times over its past 10 games and lost each of those contests.

Reds Players to Watch

  • Nicholas Castellanos paces the Reds in runs batted in (54) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .338.
  • Castellanos ranks first in hits (106), 24th in HR (17), 14th in RBI (54), first in AVG (.338), 11th in OBP (.383), and first in SLG (.592) among qualified hitters in MLB play.
  • Jesse Winker has hit 19 home runs to pace his team.
  • Among qualified batters in MLB play, Winker’s 91 hits rank 12th, his 19 HR rank 13th, his .306 AVG ranks ninth, and his .387 OBP ranks ninth.

Reds Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Nicholas Castellanos 314 .338 55 17 54 .383 .975
Jesse Winker 297 .306 56 19 49 .387 .946
Eugenio Suárez 297 .178 39 17 48 .260 .637
Jonathan India 238 .265 39 6 32 .380 .779
Tyler Naquin 233 .245 26 13 48 .309 .768
Kyle Farmer 229 .214 26 6 26 .285 .604
Joey Votto 196 .260 25 11 37 .344 .818
Tucker Barnhart 186 .263 29 4 26 .349 .763
Tyler Stephenson 180 .272 33 5 22 .373 .801
Shogo Akiyama 78 .218 7 0 6 .282 .538

Royals Players to Watch

  • Salvador Perez leads Kansas City in home runs (20) and runs batted in (50) this season while batting .280.
  • Perez ranks 10th in hits (92), and ninth in HR (20) among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Whit Merrifield is batting .283 with an OBP of .333 and a slugging percentage of .428 this season.
  • Among qualified hitters, Merrifield ranks 15th in SLG (.428), and ninth in hits (94) in the league.

Royals Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Whit Merrifield 332 .283 50 8 45 .333 .761
Salvador Pérez 329 .280 40 20 50 .302 .813
Carlos Santana 293 .246 45 13 48 .361 .771
Jorge Soler 258 .186 24 6 29 .280 .594
Michael A. Taylor 252 .238 31 7 30 .293 .646
Hunter Dozier 236 .169 24 7 25 .236 .571
Andrew Benintendi 222 .284 31 8 31 .340 .768
Nicky Lopez 214 .266 34 0 12 .351 .683
Hanser Alberto 146 .267 15 1 11 .285 .682
Ryan O’Hearn 102 .225 12 6 13 .255 .677

Reds vs Royals Player Props

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