Sports

Reds Vs Braves: MLB Betting Odds & Trends – 6/26/2021

The Cincinnati Reds (37-37) host the Atlanta Braves (36-39) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. The Reds are moneyline favorites (-121) against the underdog Braves (+104). Cincinnati’s Luis Castillo and Atlanta’s Ian Anderson will start this matchup.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 26, 2021, 2:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Reds vs Braves Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Castillo (CIN) Pitcher Anderson (ATL)
2 – 10 W/L 5 – 3
77.0 IP 75.2
5.61 ERA 3.33
1.480 WHIP 1.190
8.6 K/9 9.4
3.6 BB/9 3.3

Reds Probable Starter Luis Castillo

  • Castillo (2-10 with a 5.61 ERA and 74 strikeouts in 77 innings pitched) gets the start for the Reds, his 16th of the season.
  • In his last time out on Sunday, the righty threw six innings against the Padres, giving up two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • He will take the hill against a Braves offense that is hitting .234 as a unit (17th in the MLB). They are also slugging a collective .425 (seventh in the league) with 107 total home runs (fourth in MLB play).
  • The Reds have a 2-5 record in Castillo’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline favorite.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 26, 2021 at 2:19 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Castillo

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Freddie Freeman 8 .375 3 0 0 .500 .875
Ender Inciarte 8 .125 1 0 0 .125 .250
Dansby Swanson 7 .286 2 0 1 .375 .804
Ronald Acuña Jr. 6 .667 4 0 1 .667 1.500
Ozzie Albies 5 .400 2 0 0 .400 1.000
Kevan Smith 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Pablo Sandoval 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Austin Riley 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Ehire Adrianza 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Braves Probable Starter Ian Anderson

  • Anderson (5-3) will take to the mound for the Braves and make his 15th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings without allowing a run on three hits in a matchup with the Mets.
  • The Reds have scored 368 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They have 628 hits, fifth in baseball, with 98 home runs (eighth in the league).
  • When he starts a game and his team is the underdog on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-2.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 26, 2021 at 2:19 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Stats vs Anderson

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Shogo Akiyama 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Nick Castellanos 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Joey Votto 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Eugenio Suárez 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Tucker Barnhart 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jesse Winker 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Reds Betting Trends

  • The Reds score an average of 5.9 runs per home game and 4.2 per contest away from Great American Ball Park.
  • The Reds have the No. 7 offense in MLB action scoring 5.0 runs per game (368 total runs).
  • The Reds have won 22 of the 41 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (53.7%).
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -121 or shorter, Cincinnati has gone 16-12 (57.1%).
  • Cincinnati has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 74 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 43 of those games (43-27-4).
  • Cincinnati was the moneyline favorite in four of its last 10 games, and finished 2-2 in those matchups.

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves have scored the 12th-most runs in the league this season with 347 (4.6 per game).
  • In away games this season, they have scored a total of 139 runs (4 per game) while pushing across 208 total at home, an average of 5.2 per contest.
  • The Braves have entered the game as underdogs 26 times this season and won 13, or 50%, of those games.
  • Atlanta has a record of 8-11 in games where sportsbooks have them as underogs of at least +104 on the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of their 75 games with a total.
  • Atlanta has played as the underdog in five of its past 10 games and won two of those contests.

Reds Players to Watch

  • Jesse Winker has launched a team-high 17 home runs.
  • Among the qualified hitters in MLB, Winker’s 86 hits rank sixth, his 17 HR rank 12th, his .325 AVG ranks fifth, and his .397 OBP ranks fifth.
  • Nicholas Castellanos’ .349 batting average leads his team.
  • Among qualifying hitters in MLB, Castellanos ranks first in hits (96), first in AVG (.349), fourth in OBP (.398), and first in SLG (.600).
  • Castellanos has safely hit in five games in a row. Over that span he is hitting .471 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBIs.

Reds Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Nicholas Castellanos 275 .349 49 14 42 .398 .998
Eugenio Suárez 272 .176 37 16 44 .256 .638
Jesse Winker 265 .325 51 17 45 .397 .978
Tyler Naquin 213 .258 25 12 46 .324 .803
Jonathan India 207 .271 32 6 29 .379 .794
Kyle Farmer 207 .217 21 5 24 .287 .606
Tucker Barnhart 173 .260 29 4 25 .345 .761
Joey Votto 162 .241 18 8 31 .328 .754
Tyler Stephenson 156 .269 29 4 19 .380 .797
Shogo Akiyama 66 .227 7 0 5 .282 .555

Braves Players to Watch

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .280 this season with 20 home runs, both best among Atlanta hitters.
  • Acuna ranks 10th in OBP (.389), and fifth in HR (20) among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Ozzie Albies is a key run producer for Atlanta with a .256 average, 12 homers and 46 RBI.
  • Albies ranks fourth in SLG (.498), and 22nd in RBI (46) among qualified hitters in the majors.

Braves Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ozzie Albies 281 .256 43 12 46 .324 .822
Freddie Freeman 277 .256 48 17 42 .347 .824
Dansby Swanson 276 .232 32 13 34 .279 .717
Austin Riley 254 .272 37 12 33 .351 .812
Ronald Acuña Jr. 250 .280 59 20 45 .389 .981
Guillermo Heredia 134 .269 25 4 15 .351 .829
William Contreras 126 .214 16 7 21 .291 .704
Ehire Adrianza 107 .252 16 3 19 .336 .738
Ender Inciarte 68 .221 8 2 9 .270 .594
Abraham Almonte 65 .215 10 1 6 .395 .764

Reds vs Braves Player Props

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